FOR ONCE, FOR ONLY ONCE URIBE ON HIS WIRLWIND TOUR TO SOME COUNTRIES IN LATIN AMERICA IS GETTING CLOSE TO THE CRUX OF THE MATTER.
The first and primary target are the insurgent groups and since there is only one currently on campaigns, because the ELN is not, then this leaves the FARC. Some sections, not all of both groups have had intense rivalry, and for this reason there are no accords between them.
This call to arms by the ELN and a rapprochement with the FARC is surprising and more interesting than the content of its missive about attacks to Venezuela. Do not doubt that there will be intense bombing of the areas controlled by the insurgency, civil population notwithstanding.
In short the air bases are not aimed at Venezuela the state, as countless analysts from have suggested. Their presence has initially negotiated with Bush, what has changed is the speed and brazenness with which they have announced an increase in the number of bases originally agreed to.
Look the US could have invaded Cuba, if it chose to many years ago, but it did not. It would not seem even militarily expedient to attack Venezuela for what, militarily speaking of course? Venezuela still supplies the US with gold and both parties seem to be happy in this regard.
This said, OIL may be another key factor, as it was on the war on Irak. What is at stake is the protection of an intensification of the drilling and mining industries which happen to be on the Ecuadorean and Venezuelan border with Colombia. And these the US will fight for.
Another factor, strategically speaking the US had no land base for the flights of the aircraft of the fourth fleet which was launched into the Caribbean a year ago. So now the US has a land base and the necessary naval force in the Caribbean and there is no count on how many mercenaries are in Colombia.
I seem to recall that Venezuela closed its airspace to the US military quite a long time ago, but it still allows Colombian air force, following the usual protocols, to fly over its territory, however, what happens next in this regard, in the sense of an increase in flights will indicate whether in fact Venezuela believes that the bases, now fully operated by Colombian mercenaries have their sights on Venezuela.
nchamah
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